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From: COD Weather Processor (1:2320/105)
To: All
Date: Tue, 15.05.18 05:31
MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0422
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ACUS11 KWNS 150430
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150430
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-150600-

Mesoscale Discussion 0422
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Areas affected...Southeast KS...Northeast OK...Southwest
MO...Northwest AR

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 150430Z - 150600Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Strong storms will propagate southeast with a threat for
gusty/damaging winds and marginally severe hail.

DISCUSSION...Multiple thunderstorm clusters have conglomerated into
a larger complex of convection over southeast KS late this evening.
Precip shield is expanding across this region and an MCS appears to
be evolving along the KS/OK border. Veered LLJ across northeast OK
into southwest KS suggests this activity should propagate toward
northwest AR. Marginally severe hail and gusty/damaging winds should
be the primary threat with this activity. Given the marginality and
limited spatiotemporal nature to this complex, a watch is not
expected at this time.

..Darrow/Hart.. 05/15/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON 37459532 37069396 36139411 36069523 36639644 37459532



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