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From: COD Weather Processor (1:2320/105)
To: All
Date: Tue, 15.05.18 05:31
MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0422
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ACUS11 KWNS 150430
SPC MCD 150430

Mesoscale Discussion 0422
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Areas affected...Southeast KS...Northeast OK...Southwest
MO...Northwest AR

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 150430Z - 150600Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Strong storms will propagate southeast with a threat for
gusty/damaging winds and marginally severe hail.

DISCUSSION...Multiple thunderstorm clusters have conglomerated into
a larger complex of convection over southeast KS late this evening.
Precip shield is expanding across this region and an MCS appears to
be evolving along the KS/OK border. Veered LLJ across northeast OK
into southwest KS suggests this activity should propagate toward
northwest AR. Marginally severe hail and gusty/damaging winds should
be the primary threat with this activity. Given the marginality and
limited spatiotemporal nature to this complex, a watch is not
expected at this time.

..Darrow/Hart.. 05/15/2018

...Please see for graphic product...


LAT...LON 37459532 37069396 36139411 36069523 36639644 37459532

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